Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 1
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
NEC
1 - 0
MAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
NEC
1 - 1
AME
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
JUA
1 - 0
NEC
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 3
TIG
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |