Liga MX Finals Ap. . Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Monterrey vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
TIG
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOB
2 - 1
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 1
PAC
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
ATS
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 1
TIG
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
QRO
2 - 2
ATS
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |