Montenegro U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BIH
2 - 1
MNE
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MNE
2 - 1
IRL
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 1
MNE
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MNE
86%
11%
4%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MNE
1 - 3
SWE
8%
13%
79%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
MNE
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |