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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 30

Montebelluna vs Trento analysis

Montebelluna Trento
10 ELO 11
-23% Tilt 58%
11008º General ELO ranking 9506º
328º Country ELO ranking 317º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Montebelluna
25.2%
Draw
49%
Trento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
Montebelluna
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49%
Win probability
Trento
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montebelluna
+7%
+56%
Trento

Basic stats

0
1
GF
1
0
GC
10
11
ELO
1.1
1.6
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Montebelluna
Their league position
Trento
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
19º
19º
81
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
81
81
100%
Arzignano Valchiampo
67
67
100%
Manzanese
66
66
100%
Clodiense
62
62
100%
Caldiero Terme
61
61
100%
Mestre
60
60
100%
Delta Porto Tolle
58
58
100%
Luparense
54
54
100%
Belluno
53
53
100%
Cjarlins Muzane
10º
52
52
10º
50%
Cartigliano
11º
52
52
11º
50%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
12º
49
49
13º
50%
Adriese
13º
49
49
12º
50%
Ambrosiana
14º
47
47
14º
100%
AC Este
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Campodarsego
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Union Feltre
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Virtus Bolzano
18º
38
38
18º
50%
Montebelluna
19º
38
38
19º
50%
Chions
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montebelluna
Trento
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
50% 0%
Relegation
50% 0%

ELO progression

Montebelluna
MON
Trento
TRE
Clodiense
CLO
Caldiero Terme
CAL
Belluno
BEL
Luparense
SAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2021
UNI
Union Feltre
1 - 3
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
147 255 108 +2
10 Apr. 2021
MON
Montebelluna
2 - 2
AC Este
ACE
41%
28%
31%
147 256 -109 0
01 Apr. 2021
BEL
Belluno
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
147 263 116 0
28 Mar. 2021
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 2
Delta Porto Tolle
DEL
39%
28%
33%
149 376 -227 -2
21 Mar. 2021
GSD
Ambrosiana
4 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
151 243 92 -2

Matches

Trento
Trento
1%
X%
2%
ELO TRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
4 - 1
Luparense
SAN
41%
28%
30%
170 238 -68 +3
11 Apr. 2021
SGS
Union San Giorgio Sedico
2 - 1
Trento
TRE
49%
26%
25%
171 299 128 -1
01 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
2 - 2
Mestre
MES
39%
27%
34%
171 435 -264 0
28 Mar. 2021
UNI
Union Feltre
0 - 2
Trento
TRE
47%
27%
26%
169 261 92 +2
28 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
2 - 2
Clodiense
CLO
46%
27%
28%
169 200 -31 0