Molde FK vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
15º
10º
39
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 44 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
42% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 8% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 0
MFK
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
MFK
1 - 0
HAM
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 0
BRY
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MFK
4 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FFK
4 - 2
MFK
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 2
BBS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
BOG
1 - 1
TRO
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 0
FFK
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
RBK
4 - 1
TRO
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 1
BRY
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |