Modena vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 2
MOD
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
INT
5 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1942 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |