Mixto vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
MIX
2 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
MIX
1 - 1
FLU
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIX
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
MIX
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MIX
4 - 3
OPE
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |