Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
SCU
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
MKD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
MKD
15%
24%
61%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MKD
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
5 - 0
SWI
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
POS
2 - 2
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRO
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
SWI
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 1
LEY
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |