League One play-offs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Milton Keynes Dons vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
MKD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
MKD
15%
24%
61%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MKD
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 1
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SCU
0 - 1
MKD
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
MKD
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
SCU
3 - 0
CHE
70%
18%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LEI
2 - 2
SCU
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 3
SCU
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |