Millwall vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
WIM
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
3 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
GIL
4 - 3
MIL
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MIL
1 - 1
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
STO
0 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
IPS
2 - 1
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
DER
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
CRE
1 - 0
WAL
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 1
STO
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |