Millwall vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 2
BUR
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
0 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 3
MIL
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
WBA
2 - 2
BRE
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 0
HUR
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 0
BRE
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 1
WYC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |