Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 1
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
BOG
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 2
SFE
10%
20%
71%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
SFE
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |