Millonarios vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
REA
1 - 0
MIL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
2 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
AME
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
PER
1 - 3
ONC
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ONC
0 - 0
PAT
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
JUN
0 - 0
ONC
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
AGU
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |