Apertura Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Millonarios vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
EQU
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 1
ONC
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
CUC
1 - 1
ONC
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |