Millonarios vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 3
MIL
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
4 - 2
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
4 - 1
MIL
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 2
IND
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |