Apertura Playoffs . Final
Global 2-3
Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 2
TOL
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOL
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |