Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 4-2
Millonarios vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
BUC
2 - 2
MIL
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 1
ALI
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |