UEFA Youth League Grupo F. Jor. 5

Milan U19 vs B. Dortmund Sub 19 analysis

Milan U19 B. Dortmund Sub 19
43 ELO 36
9.9% Tilt -6.7%
6669º General ELO ranking 6513º
218º Country ELO ranking 240º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Milan U19
21.2%
Draw
24.9%
B. Dortmund Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
Milan U19
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.9%
Win probability
B. Dortmund Sub 19
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan U19
-38%
-11%
B. Dortmund Sub 19

ELO progression

Milan U19
B. Dortmund Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan U19
Milan U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
MIL
Milan U19
2 - 4
Cagliari Sub 19
CAG
76%
15%
9%
43 30 13 0
12 Nov. 2023
MIL
Milan U19
2 - 0
Lecce Sub 19
LEC
79%
14%
7%
43 28 15 0
07 Nov. 2023
MIL
Milan U19
3 - 2
PSG U19
PSG
53%
22%
26%
42 37 5 +1
04 Nov. 2023
EMP
Empoli Sub 19
2 - 1
Milan U19
MIL
21%
24%
55%
43 31 12 -1
01 Nov. 2023
SAM
Sampdoria Sub 19
2 - 3
Milan U19
MIL
25%
24%
51%
43 34 9 0

Matches

B. Dortmund Sub 19
B. Dortmund Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2023
BOR
B. Dortmund Sub 19
2 - 2
Newcastle United Sub 19
NEW
79%
13%
8%
37 5 32 0
04 Nov. 2023
DUI
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
3 - 1
B. Dortmund Sub 19
BOR
5%
11%
84%
40 13 27 -3
29 Oct. 2023
BOR
B. Dortmund Sub 19
4 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf Sub 19
FOR
86%
10%
4%
40 18 22 0
25 Oct. 2023
NEW
Newcastle United Sub 19
1 - 2
B. Dortmund Sub 19
BOR
7%
11%
81%
40 6 34 0
21 Oct. 2023
BOC
VfL Bochum Sub 19
1 - 3
B. Dortmund Sub 19
BOR
10%
15%
75%
39 21 18 +1
X