Milan U19 vs Ascoli Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIL
35%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 3
INT
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 0
EMP
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 0
MIL
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
SAS
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 4
GEN
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
EMP
2 - 1
ASC
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
ASC
64%
19%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
SAS
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SPA
4 - 0
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |