Middlesbrough vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 0
MID
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
MID
1 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
WOL
3 - 4
MID
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
MID
8 - 0
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 1
HUR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
STO
1 - 1
FUL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 5
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 0
FUL
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
FUL
2 - 1
LIV
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |