NCAA Division I Big Ten. Jor. 9

Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State analysis

Michigan Wolverines Ohio State
24 ELO 20
-5.5% Tilt -0.5%
44756º General ELO ranking 45785º
655º Country ELO ranking 717º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Michigan Wolverines
19.8%
Draw
20.6%
Ohio State

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
Michigan Wolverines
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.6%
Win probability
Ohio State
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Michigan Wolverines
-12%
-28%
Ohio State

ELO progression

Michigan Wolverines
Ohio State
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
MGW
Michigan Wolverines
0 - 1
Indiana Hoosiers
IDH
21%
20%
59%
24 36 12 0
23 Mar. 2021
MSS
Michigan State
1 - 2
Michigan Wolverines
MGW
25%
21%
54%
24 18 6 0
15 Mar. 2021
OSE
Ohio State
2 - 2
Michigan Wolverines
MGW
42%
22%
36%
24 21 3 0
11 Mar. 2021
MGW
Michigan Wolverines
1 - 2
Maryland
MLT
65%
18%
17%
24 19 5 0
07 Mar. 2021
RSK
Rutgers
0 - 1
Michigan Wolverines
MGW
48%
21%
31%
23 23 0 +1

Matches

Ohio State
Ohio State
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2021
PSN
Penn State
1 - 0
Ohio State
OSE
77%
14%
9%
21 32 11 0
19 Mar. 2021
WIS
Wisconsin
1 - 0
Ohio State
OSE
10%
15%
75%
22 10 12 -1
15 Mar. 2021
OSE
Ohio State
2 - 2
Michigan Wolverines
MGW
42%
22%
36%
21 24 3 +1
07 Mar. 2021
OSE
Ohio State
4 - 2
Northwestern
NOR
63%
18%
18%
21 18 3 0
03 Mar. 2021
MSS
Michigan State
0 - 2
Ohio State
OSE
39%
22%
39%
20 18 2 +1
X