Metz vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
PSG
0 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
MET
4 - 1
TFC
54%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
MPL
1 - 0
MET
41%
29%
31%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
MET
1 - 0
LHA
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
45%
27%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
NIO
1 - 0
MAR
32%
29%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIO
70%
19%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
NIO
2 - 2
RAC
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
NIC
1 - 0
NIO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
NIO
3 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |