Metz II vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
MET
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROY
2 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
AUB
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MET
0 - 1
IVR
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
AAC
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 2
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
LEN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |