Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-5
Metalurg Skopje vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
4 - 1
MET
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
TET
0 - 0
MET
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
REN
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
RAB
1 - 2
MET
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
PEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
4 - 1
MET
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SHA
4 - 1
QAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKN
49%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKB
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FKQ
1 - 1
QAR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |