Serie B Round 15

ACR Messina vs Taranto analysis

ACR Messina Taranto
64 ELO 59
2.5% Tilt -12%
3766º General ELO ranking 2515º
125º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
56.1%
ACR Messina
24.9%
Draw
19%
Taranto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
ACR Messina
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19%
Win probability
Taranto
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

ACR Messina
Taranto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1988
UDI
Udinese
5 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
69%
20%
12%
64 71 7 0
04 Dec. 1988
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Avellino
AVE
38%
29%
33%
63 75 12 +1
27 Nov. 1988
SSB
Barletta
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
52%
27%
21%
63 59 4 0
20 Nov. 1988
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
62%
23%
14%
62 58 4 +1
13 Nov. 1988
SSS
Sambenedettese
1 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
41%
33%
27%
63 58 5 -1

Matches

Taranto
Taranto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1988
TAR
Taranto
0 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
37%
33%
30%
60 72 12 0
04 Dec. 1988
BRE
Brescia
0 - 1
Taranto
TAR
53%
28%
20%
59 68 9 +1
27 Nov. 1988
TAR
Taranto
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
47%
31%
22%
59 63 4 0
20 Nov. 1988
PIA
Piacenza
2 - 0
Taranto
TAR
47%
27%
26%
60 59 1 -1
13 Nov. 1988
REG
Reggina
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
56%
24%
20%
60 67 7 0