Merw vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 1
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
AGA
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
1 - 0
AHA
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AHA
3 - 1
AGA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BFT
2 - 5
AHA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +8 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AHA
2 - 0
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AHA
0 - 2
KAS
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |