Mérignac-Arlac vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEG
36%
23%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COG
3 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 1
CHA
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
POI
0 - 1
FCP
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCP
0 - 1
BAY
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GDB
0 - 0
FCP
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 1
NIO
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |