AD Mérida vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SNV
0 - 2
MAD
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
CDZ
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 0
MAD
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
ASJ
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ARE
4 - 0
JER
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
JER
0 - 0
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UDF
1 - 3
JER
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |