Mercadal vs Andratx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
4 - 1
MER
29%
24%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
PCE
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
SLL
1 - 1
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MER
2 - 2
UDI
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Andratx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AND
1 - 1
ALC
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SNF
3 - 3
AND
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
AND
0 - 3
PXD
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MNU
2 - 0
AND
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
UDC
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |