Mellieha vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MDI
2 - 2
MEL
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SIG
1 - 4
MEL
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 4
SEN
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FUN
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
DIN
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ZAB
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MQA
0 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |