Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 3
SYD
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
PER
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PER
4 - 1
CCM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 2
PER
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |