Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PER
4 - 2
MEL
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
5 - 2
MCI
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 4
BRI
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |