Melbourne City vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 4
MCI
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
MCI
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 3
MCI
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
ADE
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |