Melbourne City U21 vs Perth Glory U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
CEN
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WES
0 - 2
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
MEL
41%
23%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 0
FFA
62%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PER
2 - 3
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 4
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
BRI
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 4
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |