MC Oran vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
14º
10º
40
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
ORA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 0
CHL
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
ORA
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 0
NCM
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 1
ORA
33%
30%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 3
USM
29%
30%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
JSK
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
USK
0 - 1
USM
25%
30%
46%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
EBA
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
SET
3 - 1
USM
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |