Maur Lusitanos vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ESW
3 - 0
SML
19%
25%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SML
1 - 1
VCH
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LEH
0 - 2
SML
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SML
2 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DIE
0 - 0
SML
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
VCH
2 - 2
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARR
3 - 0
LEH
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 4
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
6 - 1
DIE
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |