Marítimo vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PEN
5 - 4
MAR
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
BOA
44%
30%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
BMA
1 - 1
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAÇ
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |