Taça de Portugal . Last 16
Global 4-1
Marítimo vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LUS
1 - 1
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEX
61%
18%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
LEX
1 - 1
MAR
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 3
VST
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
VST
3 - 0
MAR
67%
16%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LUS
1 - 1
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
LUS
89%
8%
4%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LUS
0 - 3
SPB
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
LUS
2 - 2
FER
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FER
1 - 3
LUS
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |