Marinhense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
MAR
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLE
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
UDL
15%
24%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |