Maribor vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
3º
44
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
BRA
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 4
MAR
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
KRK
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 1
NSM
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 3
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 2
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
RAD
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 1
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
2 - 1
RAD
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 2
FCK
25%
26%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |