Manzanese vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 4
MZN
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MZN
2 - 0
VIR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
MZN
34%
22%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MZN
0 - 2
SDA
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
MZN
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
MES
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CLO
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |