Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
HER
0 - 1
MUD
5%
15%
80%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
NOR
2 - 0
MUD
42%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
MUD
1 - 2
DER
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
NTT
0 - 1
MUD
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
MUD
0 - 0
QPR
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1990 |
MIL
3 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
TOT
1 - 1
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1990 |
MIL
1 - 1
MAC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
MAC
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |