Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
MUD
3 - 0
NTT
74%
17%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MUD
2 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BET
1 - 0
MUD
29%
24%
48%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 4
BHA
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 2
WOL
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
EVE
5 - 1
WES
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EVE
0 - 0
CEL
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |