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Premier League. Matchday 6

Man. Utd vs Aston Villa analysis

Man. Utd Aston Villa
90 ELO 75
31% Tilt 44%
17º General ELO ranking 128º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
75.6%
Man. Utd
13.5%
Draw
10.9%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
Man. Utd
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
10.9%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Points and table prediction

Man. Utd
Their league position
Aston Villa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. Utd
10
83
27%
Chelsea
10
85
20%
Liverpool
10
81
16%
Everton
10
75
13%
Man. City
9
93
3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
9
49
6%
Tottenham Hotspur
9
48
12º
6%
West Ham
8
77
2%
Leicester
6
52
6%
Brentford
10º
5
35
15º
6%
Crystal Palace
11º
5
50
6%
Aston Villa
12º
4
48
10º
6%
Wolves
13º
3
29
18º
6%
Southampton
14º
3
48
11º
6%
Watford
15º
3
31
17º
6%
Arsenal
16º
3
26
19º
7%
Leeds United
17º
2
43
14º
6%
Burnley
18º
1
32
16º
7%
Newcastle
19º
1
47
13º
6%
Norwich City
20º
0
21
20º
9%
Expected probabilities
Man. Utd
Aston Villa
Champion
27% 1%
Champions League
50% 9%
Europa League
10% 5%
Mid-table
13% 69%
Relegation
1% 17%

ELO progression

Aston Villa
ASV
Man. Utd
MUD
Villarreal
VIL
Everton
EVE
Norwich City
NOR
Real Madrid
RMA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. Utd
Man. Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO MUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2021
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
24%
24%
52%
3239 2044 -1195 -38
11 Sep. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
4 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
80%
13%
6%
3229 2043 1186 +5
29 Aug. 2021
WOL
Wolves
0 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
22%
24%
54%
3195 2080 -1115 +5
22 Aug. 2021
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
30%
25%
46%
3201 2316 -885 -6
14 Aug. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
5 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
6%
3196 1971 1225 +5

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
80%
13%
6%
2191 3381 1190 -5
28 Aug. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
51%
25%
24%
2178 2036 142 -3
24 Aug. 2021
BAR
Barrow
0 - 6
Aston Villa
ASV
10%
17%
73%
2174 242 -1932 +4
21 Aug. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
53%
25%
22%
2157 2038 119 +15
14 Aug. 2021
WAT
Watford
3 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
40%
28%
32%
2172 1849 -323 -14