Manchester United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
63%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
31%
25%
43%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MUD
6 - 2
LEE
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
SHE
2 - 3
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
ASV
3 - 0
CRY
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 1
ASV
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |