Mali vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
3 - 1
GHA
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ZAF
1 - 1
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NGA
2 - 0
RWA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |