Maldon & Tiptree vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SOH
0 - 2
MAL
19%
20%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 2
BOW
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 3
MAL
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 0
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAL
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DER
1 - 2
BRE
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ROM
3 - 4
DER
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
DER
5 - 2
BAR
39%
23%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
DER
5 - 2
MIL
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 4
DER
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |