Malawi vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1976 |
UGA
2 - 1
MWI
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1976 |
MWI
2 - 2
KEN
55%
21%
25%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
TZA
1 - 1
MWI
64%
18%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1976 |
MWI
4 - 2
SLE
49%
22%
29%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1976 |
MWI
1 - 0
KEN
52%
22%
27%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
TZA
1 - 1
MWI
64%
18%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
KEN
1 - 1
TZA
59%
19%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1975 |
KEN
3 - 2
TZA
55%
20%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
MWI
3 - 1
TZA
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1974 |
TZA
5 - 3
UGA
57%
19%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |