Malawi vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
MWI
5 - 2
BWA
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1980 |
MWI
1 - 0
ZMB
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
TZA
1 - 0
MWI
53%
21%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
ZMB
3 - 2
MWI
59%
19%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
MWI
1 - 0
KEN
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
ZMB
6 - 1
SWZ
71%
15%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
ZMB
1 - 1
COG
62%
18%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1981 |
ZMB
4 - 1
COG
57%
19%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ZMB
6 - 5
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1980 |
MWI
1 - 0
ZMB
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |