Mainz 05 vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
MUN
1 - 2
M05
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
M05
3 - 3
KAI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAB
1 - 2
M05
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
M05
5 - 1
STP
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 0
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
OSN
2 - 2
SCF
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
STP
2 - 2
OSN
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
FSV
2 - 0
OSN
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
OSN
3 - 0
OFC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MUN
1 - 1
OSN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |